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本周,明尼苏达维京人队的每个球员都有同样的重复这是一支不同的底特律狮子队。不,没有什么不同,就像它们突然变好了一样。这并不是因为他们的主教练在他的介绍性新闻发布会上谈到了咀嚼膝盖骨。
不,这支狮子队完全不同。去年他们的主教练,丹·坎贝尔是新奥尔良圣徒队的助理主教练。进攻协调人安东尼·林恩是洛杉矶充电器队的主教练,也是防守协调员="https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/G/GlenAa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_源=直接和;utm_medium=linker—“target=“_blank”rel=“nofollow noopener”>艾伦·格伦在新奥尔良执教防守后卫。
不见了https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/G/GollKe00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_源=直接和;utm_medium=链接器-“target=“_blank”rel=“nofollow noopener”>Kenny Golladay和Marvin Jones。复杂的问题是T.J.霍肯森https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/S/SewePe00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_源=直接和;utm_medium=链接器-“target=“_blank”rel=“nofollow noopener”>Penei Sewell,Trey Flowers、D'Andre Swift和Jamal Williams被列为有问题的球员,并且在练习中受到限制。对于那些在主场得分的球员来说,这是他们的明星后卫和后卫,第一轮进攻性铲球,以及两名跑位。
当然,最重要的变化是Jared Goff将处于中心位置。
狮子是一种未知生物,说起来很奇怪。这也让他们更难做好准备。通常,在这项充满惊喜的运动中,它们是为数不多的确定因素之一。维京人队已经连续七次击败底特律队,并且https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/C/CousKi00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&;utm_source=direct&;utm_medium=linker—“target=“\u blank”rel=“nofollow noopener”>Kirk Cousins以6-0击败他们。他们是NFC北部的门垫球队,不像绿湾包装工队那样是一个大对手,也不像芝加哥熊队那样是一个令人讨厌的陷阱。
通常情况下,狮子会是你在14-7输给凯文·斯特凡斯基(Kevin Stefanski)和克利夫兰·布朗(Cleveland Browns)之后想要踢的球队。维京人队以1比3获胜,在与一支可击败的卡罗莱纳黑豹队进入告别周之前,这应该是一场轻松的胜利。
但是坎贝尔的狮子队有一点,嗯,咬了他们一口。第1周,他们在对阵旧金山49人队的比赛中惨败,在第2周中场休息时以17-14领先,并在第3周击败巴尔的摩乌鸦队创下纪录。芝加哥队上周战胜了他们,这是底特律队第一次没有让对手感到恐慌。
我来这里不是说维京人应该和狮子队有麻烦。他们是家里最受欢迎的九分之一。但我在这里看到了一个令人不安的趋势。
布朗、西雅图海鹰和亚利桑那红雀都是已知的商品。但是辛辛那提孟加拉人队没有,这是他们今年应该赢得的比赛。
在克利夫兰聘请他为他们的主教练之前,斯特凡斯基在维京人队效力了20年Baker Mayfield自2018年1-1起草以来已开始为布朗夫妇服务。他们有迈尔斯·加勒特和Jadeveon Clowney, and they sacked Justin Fields nine times the week before traveling to Minneapolis. To paraphrase the late, great Denny Green, the Browns are who the Vikings thought they were.
The Seahawks? Well, we’re talking Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson, institutions in Seattle who helped turn them into Super Bowl champions. The Legion of Boom is long gone, but it was the same cast of characters who were around for fourth-and-inches last year or the primetime loss the year before.
Arizona may not have had the winning streak Seattle did against the Vikings, but by now everybody knows what Kyler Murray can do. We all were well aware that he had a lot of weapons at his disposal, and we also have our opinions about Kliff Kingsbury.
The most alarming aspect of this is that of the teams Minnesota has played so far, the Bengals are probably the most similar to the Lions. Zac Taylor was hired in 2019, the same year Kingsbury was, but it was a lower-profile decision and people are still forming their opinions on him. Joe Burrow only played in 10 games last year due to injury, and Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase are young receivers.
The Vikings lost in Cincinnati because they started slow, took too many penalties, and left the game in the ref’s hands. They beat themselves, essentially. Or at least let the Bengals hang around long enough to beat them. However you want to view it, Minnesota should have won that game.
Now they have no margin for error after losing to the Bengals, Greg Joseph’s missed kick in Glendale, and their lack of offensive production against the Browns. Sunday’s game is a must-win. Not only that, but it’s a game where they need to put Detroit away early so that they never believe they’re in it. Because if they do, they are capable of making things interesting.
The Lions are a different team this year. They’ve become the ultimate trap team.
NCAA足球(1个单位)马里兰@俄亥俄州-21(-110):福克斯电视台上午11:00
我们家有很多马里兰球迷,所以这一个有点受伤,但我真的认为Terrapins在这里遇到了严重的麻烦。
爱荷华州给出了如何击败马里兰和热门QB的蓝图Taulia Tagovailoa上周受到了压力。现在马里兰州面临俄亥俄州的pass rusher大学,将没有顶级接手武器Dontay Demus。事实上,上周看到特警队被爱荷华州击败并不太令人惊讶,因为他们现在没能与过去排名第6的对手抗衡。马里兰州在所有这些比赛中都处于劣势,平均输掉40.7分。
七叶树电锯不是马里兰州现在想要面对的对手,因为OSU希望弥补本赛季开局缓慢带来的损失。他们在过去的三场比赛中以平均37.3分的优势获胜,场均得分50.7分,并展示了一种最终将其整合在一起的防守。俄亥俄州立大学以73-14赢得了最后一场比赛,从来没有羞于安排一个十大对手,所以我认为巴基在这里再次出现。
NCAA足球队(0.5个单位)博伊西街@BYU-6(-110):ABC电视台下午2:30,BYU在NFL选秀中失去了他们的明星四分卫,成为第二顺位,我认为他们这个赛季已经变得更好了。减少对四分卫位置的依赖,大大提高防守,美洲狮队理应获得他们的高排名。
本赛季他们已经对付了三名来自Pac-12的对手,其中两名当时排名靠前,对于一支已经过了巅峰期的博伊西州队来说,应该不会有太多麻烦。裴勇俊上赛季在博伊西以5分的优势与野马队并驾齐驱,最终以51-17获胜。随着教练布莱恩·哈辛输给奥本,博伊西本赛季看起来更糟,尤其是在进攻方面,他们在冲刺中排名第126位。野马队也无法阻止任何事情,BYU平衡的进攻应该会让他们分崩离析。
美洲狮队最近也拥有这一系列,在过去的10场比赛中以8-2安打,在过去的14场对西山的比赛中以10-4安打。本赛季他们已经养成了赢得艰苦比赛的习惯,而且还有一天的时间来准备这场比赛,我相信他们在这里不到一次触地得分。
美国国家大学生体育协会足球赛(0.75个单位)佛罗里达圣北卡罗来纳州-17.5(-110):ESPN电视台下午2:30进行的CT调查上赛季北卡罗来纳州在美联社民意调查中排名第五,在这一点上,他们前往塔拉哈西,并扼杀了一个糟糕的佛罗里达州队了。对于一支本赛季已经陷入困境并正在寻求补偿的柏油高跟鞋球队来说,这应该是一个巨大的复仇之地。
UNC本赛季在主场是一个强大的球队,三场比赛平均拿下31分。在这些比赛中,他们也以3比0领先,平均领先加13分。后面Sam Howell和不可阻挡的宽接收机James Franklin took over. The Nittany Lions are 0-7 straight up in true road games against top-10 teams, with only one of those games being a single-digit affair. They’re coming off a big revenge win last week, are overvalued off 4 straight home wins, and had one less day than Iowa to prepare for this game. The Hawkeyes know they have a legitimate chance at a CFP invite but it hinges right now on this game, so look for them to get the win and cover a small number.
NCAA Football (0.75 Unit) Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +1 (-110): 6:30 PM CT on ACC Network
Enter Sandman. That’s all you really need to know about this game, with the Metallica song being such a famous aspect of night games at Lane Stadium. It’s underrated as a truly difficult venue to play in, and a terrible spot for Notre Dame to find themselves.
By losing last week to Cincinnati, the Fighting Irish said goodbye to an undefeated season and any hope of a playoff invite. Historically that’s had a deflating effect on teams that thought of themselves as contenders, and it has shown up in the results the following week. That flat spot is made all the worse by Virginia Tech’s strength at home – especially under the lights – where they’re 5-1 ATS their past 6 games as an underdog.
This line is on the move and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Hokies as short favorites by kickoff. But with such a strong home-field advantage against a deflated Notre Dame squad, I like Tech to grind out a tough win here.
NCAA Football (1 Unit) Alabama -11 First Half @ Texas A&M (-110): 7:00 PM CT on CBS
We’ve reached that point of the college football season when it’s time to start rolling with Alabama in every first half. The incredibly profitable angle from last year is back for more and should have an easy time in this one against a struggling Texas A&M squad.
I like this number for a lot of reasons, but chief among them is the Crimson Tide have played three Power 5 teams this season and held a bigger lead than this at half in every game. In fact, they’ve averaged a 21.3 point margin at the break in those games, all against teams with more potent offenses than the Aggies can put together. Backup QB Zach Calzada has been overwhelmed for A&M, and now faces the most defensive talent he’s seen in his life. It also bears reminding that Jimbo Fisher is an ex-assistant for Nick Saban, and the pupils never get the better of the master. Saban is in the habit of letting up against his former assistants late though, another reason to back Alabama early in this one.
With back-to-back road games for the Tide it’s even more likely they get up big early and coast late, so I like Alabama to take a multiple touchdown lead into the half. There’s a fairly low total in this game due to A&M’s offensive woes, creating a shorter line and thus shorter halftime line, so I love that natural value for such a dominant first-half team.
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 392-302 ATS (+86.2 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
周一提交开幕式夜间名册的截止日期很快就要到了。明尼苏达野性队的球迷们将最终看到谁将赢得整个训练营中发生的花名册之战。由于像马可·罗西、马特·博尔迪和亚当·贝克曼这样的大名鼎鼎的潜在客户都在竞争,这是一场激动人心的比赛。
我们还不能确定,但潜在客户之间的竞争可能会更戏剧化,而不是真实化。周二,野生动物声称https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/p/pitlire01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&;utm_source=direct&;utm_medium=linker—“target=“\u blank”rel=“nofollow noopener”>Rem Pitlick,一名24岁的纳什维尔捕食者农场主,在71场AHL比赛中攻入28球,得46分。明尼苏达州已经明确表示,他们将把他留在名册上田径队的迈克尔·鲁索报道,爱荷华州排名垫底的野性六人布兰登·杜哈伊姆是最有可能获得最终名单席位的人。
第三名未言表的赢家是前往得梅因的灰狗巴士。如果这些预测成立,并且没有令人惊讶的交易或削减,罗西、博尔迪和贝克曼将从爱荷华州开始。接下来的问题是:他们什么时候会在圣保罗首次亮相?
这对罗西来说是一个特别有趣的问题。考虑到在冠状病毒大流行和他自己因感染而引发的医疗问题之间,他基本上错过了18个月的曲棍球比赛,他从爱荷华州开始就不足为奇了。这种命运是意料之中的,直到他在奥运会预选赛和明尼苏达州的前景训练营中大吵大闹为止。
罗西必须证明他毫无疑问已经为NHL做好了让球队走出训练营的准备。是吗?这取决于你看的镜头。他在39分5对5分钟内贡献了0分和3次射门(6次尝试)。诚然,他的三次机会都很危险,但他不像贝克曼那样是一个投篮机器。
当你看到罗西在冰上的进攻时,他是明尼苏达州最好的中锋之一。当罗西5对5比赛时,野性队控制了58%的预期进球,领先于所有中锋候选人,但Joel Erikson Ek和Kirill Kaprizov, but past that? They’ll once again try to make do with some combination of Ryan Hartman, Rask, Nick Bjugstad, Nico Sturm, and now Frederick Gaudreau and Pitlick.
It might work for them for a few months in the regular season, but it sure didn’t work against the Vegas Golden Knights. Rossi’s services will likely be needed to solidify Minnesota’s patchwork center situation.
And if they are, Minnesota shouldn’t worry about cap implications in 2024. This year may be their best shot at the Cup in the next four. Their buyout penalty is under $5 million this season, and will increase to almost $13 million for 2022-23. With Kevin Fiala due for a raise next season, this might be their final year with their secondary game-breaker.
Can Minnesota justify keeping Rossi’s powder dry when they might not have a better opportunity to win? To let Fiala leave without ever seeing his potential next to a player as skilled as Rossi? To burn off one of the precious five years of Kaprizov’s contract without taking their best swing?
It just doesn’t add up. This year is much more pressing than worrying about what might happen in 2024.
Another reason is this: Teams usually figure stuff out when it comes to getting RFAs to cap-compliant deals. The St. Louis Blues found themselves needing to sign Robert Thomas with under $1 million in cap space this summer. They flipped Zach Sanford, a fine but not crucial piece, for former first-rounder Logan Brown, clearing the $2 million necessary to ink Thomas.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Vancouver Canucks have navigated much nastier cap situations. The Canucks needed to sign stars Elias Pettersson and Quinn Hughes this summer. Pettersson was thought to be in a position to command Kaprizov-type money. He got less than $8 million per year, as did Hughes. Tampa manages to get stars like Brayden Point, Anthony Cirelli, and Mikhail Sergachev to take steep discounts for cap purposes on an annual basis.
In an environment where offer sheets are rarely used, RFA situations tend to work themselves out. The Wild also have time to construct a plan to leave cap space open. Zuccarello has $6 million coming off the books in Summer 2024. Matt Dumba’s $6 million cap hit clears in 2023. If Minnesota wants to plan for Rossi’s next contract, they can start in two years instead of wasting this one.
When a player’s ready, they’re ready. Maybe Rossi needs two or three months in Iowa to prove he’s truly ready for NHL action. But there’s little chance he needs a full year of seasoning to reach his potential. Rossi is no ordinary prospect. He’s got an advanced game and racked up video game numbers in the OHL. He has an NHL body and a clean bill of health.
He can help Minnesota this year, when they have a legitimate shot in a weak Western Conference. Going into the playoffs without Rossi will noticeably hurt their chances, given their current center depth. The Wild may worry about affording Rossi’s next deal, but they can afford to punt this year for the sake of playing service time games even less.
All data from Natural Stat Trick unless otherwise indicated.